Table 2 Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve

BMI at 14 yrs > overweight cutoff^a

BMI at birth

0.56 (0.43–0.69)

0.38

0.48 (0.36–0.60)

0.73

BMI at 1.5 yrs

0.78 (0.65–0.90)

<0.05

0.66 (0.55–0.77)

<0.05

BMI at 3 yrs

0.81 (0.71–0.91)

<0.05

0.75 (0.66–0.85)

<0.05

WtHR at 14 yrs > 0.5

BMI at birth

0.48 (0.35–0.60)

0.75

0.41 (0.30–0.52)

0.20

BMI at 1.5 yrs

0.68 (0.55–0.81)

<0.05

0.58 (0.45–0.71)

0.26

BMI at 3 yrs

0.75 (0.63–0.86)

<0.05

0.73 (0.61–0.85)

<0.05

FMI at 14 yrs > 95th percentile

BMI at birth

0.57 (0.40–0.74)

0.45

0.45 (0.34–0.57)

0.61

BMI at 1.5 yrs

0.71 (0.50–0.91)

<0.05

0.60 (0.40–0.79)

0.31

BMI at 3 yrs

0.81 (0.65–0.96)

<0.05

0.73 (0.55–0.90)

<0.05

FMI at 14 yrs > 90th percentile

BMI at birth

0.55 (0.42–0.67)

0.49

0.45 (0.33–0.57)

0.45

BMI at 1.5 yrs

0.72 (0.59–0.85)

<0.05

0.64 (0.53–0.76)

<0.05

BMI at 3 yrs

0.72 (0.59–0.85)

<0.05

0.71 (0.60–0.82)

<0.05

FMI at 14 yrs > 85th percentile

BMI at birth

0.50 (0.40–0.61)

0.95

0.47 (0.36–0.58)

0.59

BMI at 1.5 yrs

0.66 (0.55–0.76)

<0.05

0.69 (0.60–0.79)

<0.05

BMI at 3 yrs

0.68 (0.56–0.79)

<0.05

0.75 (0.67–0.84)

<0.05